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BetaPoly is a demonstration prediction-markets frontend that fetches public data from Polymarket. Trading on BetaPoly uses virtual BetaPoints only: no real money, wallets, or crypto are involved. Powered by the Polymarket public APIs. Operated by the BetaSouls team.

Weather

All177
Temperature
Precipitation5Global9Tornadoes2Hurricanes6Earthquakes15Volcanoes2Pandemics8

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑1k

100%

YesNo

↑500

100%

YesNo

$7.7M Vol.

Daily

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$7.3M Vol.

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

2

56%

YesNo

1

30%

YesNo

$2.8M Vol.

Daily

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30?

8+

84%

YesNo

7

16%

YesNo

$1.9M Vol.

Daily

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

14–16

28%

YesNo

11–13

25%

YesNo

$1.3M Vol.

Daily

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0

56%

YesNo

1

36%

YesNo

$1.1M Vol.

Daily

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$600.0K Vol.

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

69%

chance

Yes

No

$372.8K Vol.

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

13%

chance

Yes

No

$340.7K Vol.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

36%

chance

Yes

No

$326.7K Vol.

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

33%

chance

Yes

No

$299.2K Vol.

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?

28°C

100%

YesNo

25°C

<1%

YesNo

$265.0K Vol.

Daily

Natural Disaster in 2026?

28%

chance

Yes

No

$216.9K Vol.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$183.8K Vol.

Highest temperature in NYC on May 11?

60-61°F

100%

YesNo

62-63°F

<1%

YesNo

$155.7K Vol.

Daily

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

18%

chance

Yes

No

$152.3K Vol.

Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$149.6K Vol.

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

89%

chance

Yes

No

$135.8K Vol.

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$135.2K Vol.

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 12?

31°C or higher

49%

YesNo

30°C

38%

YesNo

$134.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 12?

30°C

53%

YesNo

31°C

27%

YesNo

$130.4K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Austin on May 13?

78°F or higher

99%

YesNo

76-77°F

1%

YesNo

$124.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Denver on May 13?

66°F or higher

99%

YesNo

62-63°F

<1%

YesNo

$118.5K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Seoul on May 12?

20°C

48%

YesNo

21°C

38%

YesNo

$109.9K Vol.

Daily

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$105.8K Vol.

Highest temperature in Miami on May 11?

88-89°F

100%

YesNo

90-91°F

<1%

YesNo

$94.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Wellington on May 12?

16°C

93%

YesNo

17°C

7%

YesNo

$91.2K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Chicago on May 11?

54-55°F

100%

YesNo

56-57°F

<1%

YesNo

$90.4K Vol.

Daily

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes by June 30? (Higher Strikes)

≤8

44%

YesNo

9

24%

YesNo

$89.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 11?

17°C

100%

YesNo

18°C

<1%

YesNo

$80.9K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in London on May 12?

16°C

55%

YesNo

17°C

22%

YesNo

$80.5K Vol.

Daily

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$79.9K Vol.

Highest temperature in Houston on May 11?

80-81°F

100%

YesNo

82-83°F

<1%

YesNo

$76.5K Vol.

Daily

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$72.8K Vol.

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+

85%

YesNo

1150–1199

6%

YesNo

$71.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 11?

17°C

100%

YesNo

18°C

<1%

YesNo

$70.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 12?

14°C

90%

YesNo

15°C or higher

11%

YesNo

$67.9K Vol.

Daily

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest

67%

YesNo

2nd hottest

26%

YesNo

$65.6K Vol.

Daily

Megaquake by June 30?

14%

chance

Yes

No

$65.0K Vol.

Highest temperature in Austin on May 12?

84°F or higher

84%

YesNo

82-83°F

15%

YesNo

$64.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Busan on May 12?

22°C

52%

YesNo

21°C

43%

YesNo

$61.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Dallas on May 11?

78-79°F

100%

YesNo

80-81°F

<1%

YesNo

$58.6K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 12?

24°C

76%

YesNo

25°C

13%

YesNo

$58.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Austin on May 11?

80-81°F

100%

YesNo

82-83°F

<1%

YesNo

$57.8K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 11?

66-67°F

100%

YesNo

70-71°F

<1%

YesNo

$54.2K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Milan on May 12?

21°C

48%

YesNo

22°C

21%

YesNo

$53.8K Vol.

Daily

Will a hurricane form by May 31?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$48.7K Vol.

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

<4m sq km

56%

YesNo

4.0-4.2m sq km

13%

YesNo

$48.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on May 12?

66-67°F

38%

YesNo

64-65°F

34%

YesNo

$44.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 12?

34°C or higher

46%

YesNo

33°C

35%

YesNo

$43.9K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 12?

28°C

28%

YesNo

29°C

26%

YesNo

$43.2K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Taipei on May 12?

29°C or higher

100%

YesNo

25°C

<1%

YesNo

$41.7K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Jakarta on May 12?

35°C

80%

YesNo

34°C

19%

YesNo

$40.6K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Toronto on May 11?

12°C

100%

YesNo

13°C

<1%

YesNo

$39.8K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Paris on May 12?

16°C

48%

YesNo

15°C

25%

YesNo

$39.5K Vol.

Daily

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 11?

23°C

100%

YesNo

21°C

<1%

YesNo

$39.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Beijing on May 12?

33°C

41%

YesNo

32°C

38%

YesNo

$38.6K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Singapore on May 12?

32°C

49%

YesNo

31°C

40%

YesNo

$38.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Chicago on May 12?

64°F or higher

99%

YesNo

62-63°F

<1%

YesNo

$37.9K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 12?

30°C

44%

YesNo

31°C

30%

YesNo

$35.9K Vol.

Daily