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BetaPoly is a demonstration prediction-markets frontend that fetches public data from Polymarket. Trading on BetaPoly uses virtual BetaPoints only: no real money, wallets, or crypto are involved. Powered by the Polymarket public APIs. Operated by the BetaSouls team.

Weather

All177
Temperature
Precipitation5Global9Tornadoes2Hurricanes6Earthquakes15Volcanoes2Pandemics8

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$16.7M Vol.

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑500

100%

YesNo

↑1k

100%

YesNo

$7.8M Vol.

Daily

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

2

61%

YesNo

1

34%

YesNo

$3.1M Vol.

Daily

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

14–16

41%

YesNo

11–13

28%

YesNo

$1.3M Vol.

Daily

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0

67%

YesNo

1

25%

YesNo

$1.2M Vol.

Daily

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$723.8K Vol.

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$659.7K Vol.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

22%

chance

Yes

No

$334.3K Vol.

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

26%

chance

Yes

No

$310.7K Vol.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$248.8K Vol.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

24%

chance

Yes

No

$226.1K Vol.

Highest temperature in Seoul on July 15?

28°C

100%

YesNo

21°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$219.8K Vol.

Daily

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

10%

chance

Yes

No

$176.2K Vol.

Highest temperature in London on July 15?

28°C

97%

YesNo

29°C

3%

YesNo

$165.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on July 15?

28°C

100%

YesNo

24°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$158.6K Vol.

Daily

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

89%

chance

Yes

No

$146.0K Vol.

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

13%

chance

Yes

No

$137.8K Vol.

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$128.3K Vol.

Highest temperature in Munich on July 15?

27°C

98%

YesNo

28°C

2%

YesNo

$122.8K Vol.

Daily

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$118.5K Vol.

Highest temperature in Shanghai on July 15?

39°C

100%

YesNo

32°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$117.2K Vol.

Daily

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$115.4K Vol.

Highest temperature in Milan on July 15?

32°C or below

100%

YesNo

34°C

<1%

YesNo

$111.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Paris on July 15?

31°C

91%

YesNo

32°C

7%

YesNo

$103.6K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in NYC on July 15?

98-99°F

40%

YesNo

96-97°F

35%

YesNo

$101.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Chengdu on July 15?

38°C

100%

YesNo

31°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$98.8K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Beijing on July 15?

38°C

100%

YesNo

31°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$98.8K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Qingdao on July 15?

30°C

100%

YesNo

25°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$89.9K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on July 15?

30°C

100%

YesNo

26°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$79.6K Vol.

Daily

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+

87%

YesNo

1150–1199

4%

YesNo

$78.2K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on July 15?

29°C

100%

YesNo

24°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$74.7K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Chongqing on July 15?

40°C

100%

YesNo

34°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$71.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Dallas on July 15?

90-91°F

35%

YesNo

88-89°F

26%

YesNo

$65.9K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Cape Town on July 15?

17°C

100%

YesNo

18°C

<1%

YesNo

$64.7K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on July 15?

27°C

92%

YesNo

28°C

34%

YesNo

$63.0K Vol.

Daily

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

<4m sq km

26%

YesNo

4.0-4.2m sq km

20%

YesNo

$61.4K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Singapore on July 15?

32°C

100%

YesNo

27°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$60.5K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Wellington on July 16?

16°C

60%

YesNo

15°C

33%

YesNo

$59.7K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Madrid on July 15?

36°C

97%

YesNo

37°C

3%

YesNo

$58.4K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Moscow on July 15?

23°C

100%

YesNo

24°C

<1%

YesNo

$57.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Toronto on July 15?

28°C or below

64%

YesNo

29°C

21%

YesNo

$55.2K Vol.

Daily

2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1st hottest

82%

YesNo

3rd hottest

18%

YesNo

$54.7K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 15?

33°C

100%

YesNo

26°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$52.6K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Helsinki on July 15?

26°C

96%

YesNo

27°C

4%

YesNo

$50.9K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Chicago on July 15?

94-95°F

50%

YesNo

96-97°F

35%

YesNo

$49.9K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Taipei on July 15?

36°C

100%

YesNo

29°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$48.8K Vol.

Daily

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on July 15?

25°C

100%

YesNo

24°C

<1%

YesNo

$48.8K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Lucknow on July 15?

35°C

100%

YesNo

26°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$48.5K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 15?

37°C

100%

YesNo

31°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$46.6K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on July 15?

80-81°F

47%

YesNo

82-83°F

37%

YesNo

$44.9K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 15?

27°C

100%

YesNo

23°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$42.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in London on July 16?

28°C

42%

YesNo

29°C

27%

YesNo

$39.9K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Busan on July 15?

33°C

100%

YesNo

27°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$36.6K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Miami on July 15?

94-95°F

51%

YesNo

92-93°F

44%

YesNo

$36.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Ankara on July 15?

29°C

100%

YesNo

30°C

<1%

YesNo

$35.8K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Karachi on July 15?

34°C

100%

YesNo

27°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$35.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Jeddah on July 15?

38°C or higher

100%

YesNo

28°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$34.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Beijing on July 16?

33°C

40%

YesNo

34°C

24%

YesNo

$33.8K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on July 15?

32°C

100%

YesNo

28°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$33.5K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Warsaw on July 15?

28°C

97%

YesNo

29°C

3%

YesNo

$32.9K Vol.

Daily