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BetaPoly is a demonstration prediction-markets frontend that fetches public data from Polymarket. Trading on BetaPoly uses virtual BetaPoints only: no real money, wallets, or crypto are involved. Powered by the Polymarket public APIs. Operated by the BetaSouls team.

Weather

All177
Temperature
Precipitation5Global9Tornadoes2Hurricanes6Earthquakes15Volcanoes2Pandemics8

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$18.3M Vol.

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑500

100%

YesNo

↑1k

100%

YesNo

$8.0M Vol.

Daily

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

1

75%

YesNo

2

23%

YesNo

$3.4M Vol.

Daily

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

14–16

50%

YesNo

17–19

26%

YesNo

$1.5M Vol.

Daily

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

1

56%

YesNo

0

39%

YesNo

$1.2M Vol.

Daily

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$816.6K Vol.

Ebola pandemic in 2026?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$764.3K Vol.

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$343.3K Vol.

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$328.5K Vol.

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

26%

chance

Yes

No

$313.9K Vol.

Natural Disaster in 2026?

21%

chance

Yes

No

$246.8K Vol.

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$206.1K Vol.

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

8%

chance

Yes

No

$146.8K Vol.

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$142.1K Vol.

Hantavirus vaccine in 2026?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$136.4K Vol.

Highest temperature in Wuhan on September 17?

21°C

99%

YesNo

22°C

<1%

YesNo

$118.2K Vol.

Daily

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$117.2K Vol.

Highest temperature in Shanghai on September 17?

29°C

100%

YesNo

25°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$103.5K Vol.

Daily

Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?

4.4-4.6m sq km

97%

YesNo

4.0-4.2m sq km

2%

YesNo

$85.2K Vol.

Daily

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+

91%

YesNo

1150–1199

5%

YesNo

$83.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?

31°C

100%

YesNo

24°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$72.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Milan on September 17?

25°C

53%

YesNo

26°C or higher

26%

YesNo

$65.6K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 17?

36°C

100%

YesNo

37°C or higher

<1%

YesNo

$63.1K Vol.

Daily

When will the Danube River return to normal levels?

October 1 - 31, 2026

47%

YesNo

September 15 - 30, 2026

44%

YesNo

$61.5K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Beijing on September 17?

31°C

100%

YesNo

32°C

<1%

YesNo

$60.4K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 17?

27°C

100%

YesNo

22°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$60.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Wellington on September 17?

15°C

100%

YesNo

9°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$57.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 17?

30°C

100%

YesNo

31°C

<1%

YesNo

$55.5K Vol.

Daily

How many tropical cyclones will make landfall in China during 2026?

8

41%

YesNo

Greater than 8

40%

YesNo

$53.5K Vol.

Daily

AI data center in space by...?

December 31, 2027

22%

YesNo

December 31, 2026

2%

YesNo

$53.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Singapore on September 17?

33°C

100%

YesNo

34°C

<1%

YesNo

$47.2K Vol.

Daily

What will the peak RONI be for the 2026–27 El Niño?

Over 2.5

70%

YesNo

2.25–2.5

25%

YesNo

$44.2K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 17?

24°C

100%

YesNo

25°C

<1%

YesNo

$43.5K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Manila on September 17?

31°C

100%

YesNo

32°C

<1%

YesNo

$40.2K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 17?

26°C

99%

YesNo

27°C

2%

YesNo

$39.9K Vol.

Daily

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

Uganda

100%

YesNo

Ethiopia

52%

YesNo

$38.8K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Madrid on September 17?

27°C

51%

YesNo

26°C

35%

YesNo

$37.1K Vol.

Daily

When will the Rhine River return to normal levels?

October 1 - 31, 2026

54%

YesNo

No return before November 1, 2026

38%

YesNo

$36.7K Vol.

Daily

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii before 2027?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$36.0K Vol.

Will there be a power grid emergency before October 1?

Midwest (MISO)

100%

YesNo

Central US (SPP)

12%

YesNo

$35.8K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Paris on September 17?

22°C

49%

YesNo

23°C

42%

YesNo

$34.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in NYC on September 17?

82-83°F

61%

YesNo

80-81°F

18%

YesNo

$33.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Busan on September 17?

28°C

100%

YesNo

22°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$32.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Qingdao on September 17?

28°C

99%

YesNo

22°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$31.8K Vol.

Daily

How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?

1-3

62%

YesNo

0

36%

YesNo

$31.1K Vol.

Daily

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 17?

27°C

94%

YesNo

26°C

6%

YesNo

$30.4K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 17?

21°C or below

84%

YesNo

22°C

11%

YesNo

$30.2K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Munich on September 17?

20°C

54%

YesNo

21°C

41%

YesNo

$30.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in London on September 17?

21°C

57%

YesNo

20°C

25%

YesNo

$27.6K Vol.

Daily

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

Fay

35%

YesNo

Gonzalo

21%

YesNo

$27.5K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Warsaw on September 17?

18°C

92%

YesNo

19°C

6%

YesNo

$27.3K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 17?

34°C

81%

YesNo

35°C

19%

YesNo

$27.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Miami on September 17?

86-87°F

44%

YesNo

88-89°F

24%

YesNo

$26.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Amsterdam on September 17?

17°C

61%

YesNo

18°C

30%

YesNo

$25.7K Vol.

Daily

Precipitation in Seoul in September?

<75mm

82%

YesNo

75-100mm

13%

YesNo

$25.0K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Taipei on September 17?

32°C

100%

YesNo

25°C or below

<1%

YesNo

$24.6K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 17?

76-77°F

56%

YesNo

74-75°F

35%

YesNo

$23.1K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on September 17?

33°C

100%

YesNo

34°C

<1%

YesNo

$22.8K Vol.

Daily

Highest temperature in Panama City on September 17?

33°C

64%

YesNo

34°C

23%

YesNo

$22.3K Vol.

Daily

How low will Lake Mead drop?

Below 1,028 ft

46%

YesNo

1,028–1,033 ft

40%

YesNo

$22.1K Vol.

Daily