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BetaPoly is a demonstration prediction-markets frontend that fetches public data from Polymarket. Trading on BetaPoly uses virtual BetaPoints only: no real money, wallets, or crypto are involved. Powered by the Polymarket public APIs. Operated by the BetaSouls team.

Politics

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
All1.6KTrump290Midterms546Global Elections128Gov Shutdown6Epstein24Texas Senate6Primaries183China38Brazil15Hungary Election7Slovenia Election2Colombia Election6German Elections4Venezuela31Courts21US Election149Trade War8Congress41Mayoral Elections10Cabinet8Senate7Israel74Canada28

2026 Midterms
Predictions

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

24%

YesNo

Kamala Harris

8%

YesNo
+ 126 more

$1136.5M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

49%

YesNo

J.D. Vance

37%

YesNo
+ 126 more

$613.8M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

19%

YesNo

Gavin Newsom

17%

YesNo
+ 126 more

$576.7M Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 311%

$120.3M Vol.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

April 22<1%April 24<1%April 30<1%

$107.1M Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

63%

YesNo

Delcy Rodríguez

26%

YesNo
+ 55 more

$87.6M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro

43%

YesNo

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

40%

YesNo
+ 30 more

$69.3M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella

25%

YesNo

Édouard Philippe

20%

YesNo
+ 126 more

$67.7M Vol.

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh

100%

YesNo

Judy Shelton

<1%

YesNo
+ 33 more

$55.8M Vol.

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Keiko Fujimori

63%

YesNo

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

35%

YesNo
+ 47 more

$50.2M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$39.0M Vol.

Will Trump visit China by...?

October 31, 2025<1%March 31, 2026<1%May 1599%

$37.8M Vol.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

April 30<1%May 312%June 306%

$37.0M Vol.

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Chong Won-oh

93%

YesNo

Oh Se-hoon

7%

YesNo
+ 64 more

$36.4M Vol.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

April 18<1%April 19<1%April 20<1%

$35.2M Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$33.0M Vol.

Colombia Presidential Election

Candidate M

50%

YesNo

Abelardo de la Espriella

44%

YesNo
+ 26 more

$28.4M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

27%

chance

Yes

No

$27.6M Vol.

Fed Decision in June?

No change

97%

YesNo

25 bps decrease

2%

YesNo
+ 3 more

$23.5M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$23.4M Vol.

What will happen before GTA VI?

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire

100%

YesNo

Drake releases Iceman

99%

YesNo
+ 7 more

$21.8M Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra

55%

YesNo

Tom Steyer

26%

YesNo
+ 43 more

$20.5M Vol.

Starmer out by...?

December 31, 2025<1%February 28<1%March 31<1%

$19.9M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$18.3M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

18%

chance

Yes

No

$17.6M Vol.

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

April 23<1%April 12<1%April 13<1%

$16.6M Vol.

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya

8%

YesNo

Donald Trump

7%

YesNo
+ 69 more

$16.2M Vol.

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton

60%

YesNo

John Cornyn

41%

YesNo
+ 18 more

$16.0M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 31, 2025<1%January 31<1%March 31<1%

$14.2M Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 319%

$13.4M Vol.