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BetaPoly is a demonstration prediction-markets frontend that fetches public data from Polymarket. Trading on BetaPoly uses virtual BetaPoints only: no real money, wallets, or crypto are involved. Powered by the Polymarket public APIs. Operated by the BetaSouls team.

Politics

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
All1.6KTrump290Midterms546Global Elections128Gov Shutdown6Epstein24Texas Senate6Primaries183China38Brazil15Hungary Election7Slovenia Election2Colombia Election6German Elections4Venezuela31Courts21US Election149Trade War8Congress41Mayoral Elections10Cabinet8Senate7Israel74Canada28

2026 Midterms
Predictions

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom

20%

YesNo

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

14%

YesNo
+ 43 more

$1242.3M Vol.

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance

40%

YesNo

Marco Rubio

27%

YesNo
+ 33 more

$676.6M Vol.

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance

20%

YesNo

Marco Rubio

14%

YesNo
+ 35 more

$664.3M Vol.

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed

97%

YesNo

Gedion Timothewos

2%

YesNo
+ 6 more

$214.9M Vol.

Netanyahu out by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 31<1%

$123.6M Vol.

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen

35%

YesNo

Édouard Philippe

27%

YesNo
+ 39 more

$114.9M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

61%

YesNo

Flávio Bolsonaro

26%

YesNo
+ 15 more

$113.8M Vol.

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

80%

YesNo

Delcy Rodríguez

12%

YesNo
+ 14 more

$93.9M Vol.

Fed Decision in July?

No change

93%

YesNo

25 bps increase

6%

YesNo
+ 3 more

$72.2M Vol.

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Starmer - UK PM

100%

YesNo

Netanyahu - Israel PM

<1%

YesNo
+ 22 more

$67.0M Vol.

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

April 30<1%May 31<1%June 30<1%

$63.3M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

30%

chance

Yes

No

$44.9M Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra

92%

YesNo

Steve Hilton

7%

YesNo
+ 21 more

$40.4M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$38.8M Vol.

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$35.0M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

74%

YesNo

No Head of State

8%

YesNo
+ 28 more

$32.7M Vol.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

April 30<1%May 31<1%June 30<1%

$28.6M Vol.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

50%

YesNo

Benjamin Netanyahu

35%

YesNo
+ 16 more

$28.3M Vol.

What will happen before GTA VI?

Another Pandemic

51%

YesNo

New Rihanna Album

51%

YesNo
+ 6 more

$23.3M Vol.

Israel closes its airspace by...?

May 24<1%May 8<1%May 31<1%

$23.0M Vol.

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya

10%

YesNo

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

7%

YesNo
+ 18 more

$22.8M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$22.5M Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 31<1%

$19.9M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$18.2M Vol.

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

July 31, 2026<1%August 31, 20262%September 30, 20264%

$17.9M Vol.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

April 30<1%May 31<1%June 30<1%

$17.4M Vol.

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Andy Burnham

100%

YesNo

Shabana Mahmood

<1%

YesNo
+ 20 more

$16.6M Vol.

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)

56%

YesNo

New People (NL)

37%

YesNo
+ 5 more

$15.5M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 31, 2025<1%January 31<1%March 31<1%

$14.2M Vol.

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass

63%

YesNo

Nithya Raman

36%

YesNo

$13.0M Vol.