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Military Strikes·Politics

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Dec 31
20%chance
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$41.4M Vol.Dec 31, 2026Earn rewards
AmountBalance 10,000.00 BP

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025

Resolveroracle.uma.xyz (UMA)
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