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Senate

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
All1.6KTrump290Midterms546Global Elections128Gov Shutdown6Epstein24Texas Senate6Primaries183China38Brazil15Hungary Election7Slovenia Election2Colombia Election6German Elections4Venezuela31Courts21US Election149Trade War8Congress41Mayoral Elections10Cabinet8Senate7Israel74Canada28

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

59%

YesNo

Republican Party

41%

YesNo

$4.6M Vol.

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

12%

chance

Yes

No

$1.7M Vol.

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

October 31<1%December 31<1%March 31, 2026<1%

$560.7K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$177.4K Vol.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune

45%

YesNo

Chuck Schumer

37%

YesNo
+ 8 more

$156.2K Vol.

John Fetterman out by...?

September 301%December 314%

$68.5K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 5%?

Texas

80%

YesNo

Alaska

70%

YesNo
+ 16 more

$65.8K Vol.

Closest Senate Race?

Texas

15%

YesNo

Iowa

14%

YesNo
+ 14 more

$42.0K Vol.

How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?

2

48%

YesNo

3

24%

YesNo
+ 5 more

$28.5K Vol.

Heidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by...?

September 307%October 3150%November 3039%

$20.3K Vol.

Closest Governor's Race?

Texas

16%

YesNo

Ohio

14%

YesNo
+ 16 more

$18.6K Vol.

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

November 2, 20262%December 31, 202610%Between Nov. 3 and Jan. 3 12PM<1%

$16.7K Vol.

Government shutdown by October 1?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$15.6K Vol.

Graham Platner divorce by October 31?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$7.6K Vol.

Will Gérard Larcher be reelected as President of the French Senate?

94%

chance

Yes

No

$7.3K Vol.

Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?

99%

chance

Yes

No

$5.1K Vol.

Dems' best tossup Senate race?

Michigan

41%

YesNo

Maine

19%

YesNo
+ 4 more

$4.2K Vol.

Graham Platner charged by...?

August 31<1%December 3127%

$3.9K Vol.

Which Senate races will be within 1%?

Ohio (Special)

31%

YesNo

Iowa

25%

YesNo
+ 14 more

$3.2K Vol.

Which party will win the Arizona State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

54%

YesNo

Republican Party

44%

YesNo

$3.0K Vol.

Will AOC announce a run for Senate or President before 2028?

President

66%

YesNo

Senate

34%

YesNo
+ 1 more

$2.7K Vol.

Pennsylvania State Senate Winner 2026?

Republican Party

60%

YesNo

Democratic Party

39%

YesNo

$2.3K Vol.

Which party will win the Wisconsin State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

86%

YesNo

Republican Party

14%

YesNo

$1.7K Vol.

Which party will win the Texas State Senate in 2026?

Republican Party

92%

YesNo

Democratic Party

8%

YesNo

$1.3K Vol.

Republicans favored to win the Senate on Nate Silver's Bulletin by...?

August 31<1%September 154%September 3028%

$1.2K Vol.

Jon Ossoff or Raphael Warnock out from the Senate in 2026?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$1.2K Vol.

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

16%

chance

Yes

No

$1.1K Vol.

Which party will win the Minnesota State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

79%

YesNo

Republican Party

20%

YesNo

$493 Vol.

Which party will win the Maine State Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

89%

YesNo

Republican Party

9%

YesNo

$423 Vol.

Hung Cao confirmed as Secretary of the Navy by...?

September 3016%October 3149%November 3050%

$0 Vol.