Brazil - BetaPoly

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro

68%

Yes No

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

20%

Yes No

+ 30 more

$3.4M Vol.

Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

43%

chance

Yes

No

$744.5K Vol.

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Flavio Bolsonaro

87%

Yes No

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

83%

Yes No

+ 4 more

$309.1K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Romeu Zema

33%

Yes No

Renan Santos

32%

Yes No

+ 30 more

$273.5K Vol.

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

PL

76%

Yes No

REPUBLICANOS

12%

Yes No

+ 37 more

$253.8K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva <5%

40%

Yes No

Flávio Bolsonaro <5%

24%

Yes No

+ 9 more

$229.9K Vol.

Bank of Brazil Decision in June?

Decrease

85%

Yes No

No Change

15%

Yes No

+ 1 more

$106.5K Vol.

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

14%

chance

Yes

No

$66.6K Vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

10%

chance

Yes

No

$64.1K Vol.

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%

38%

Yes No

6.50-6.99%

22%

Yes No

+ 8 more

$56.9K Vol.

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ciro Gomes

64%

Yes No

Elmano de Freitas

23%

Yes No

+ 24 more

$52.8K Vol.

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

18%

chance

Yes

No

$27.4K Vol.

2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make Brazil Squad

Vinícius Júnior

95%

Yes No

Casemiro

95%

Yes No

+ 33 more

$22.3K Vol.

Brazil GDP Growth in Q1 2026?

1.9%–2.2%

51%

Yes No

1.5%–1.8%

31%

Yes No

+ 5 more

$20.6K Vol.

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Tarcísio de Freitas

83%

Yes No

Fernando Haddad

9%

Yes No

+ 23 more

$17.7K Vol.

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Cleitinho Azevedo

56%

Yes No

Rodrigo Pacheco

19%

Yes No

+ 28 more

$16.9K Vol.

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

PL

67%

Yes No

PODEMOS

15%

Yes No

+ 37 more

$13.8K Vol.

Bahia Governor Election Winner

Jerônimo Rodrigues

52%

Yes No

ACM Neto

48%

Yes No

+ 26 more

$13.6K Vol.

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

84%

chance

Yes

No

$9.5K Vol.

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

PL

74%

Yes No

FE Brasil

11%

Yes No

+ 40 more

$5.3K Vol.

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

25 bps decrease

72%

Yes No

50+ bps decrease

13%

Yes No

+ 3 more

$1.6K Vol.