Brazil - BetaPoly

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

21%

+ 16 more

$7.3M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Augusto Cury

45%

Renan Santos

40%

+ 17 more

$1.2M Vol.

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

96%

Flavio Bolsonaro

96%

$623.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva <5%

49%

Flávio Bolsonaro <5%

25%

$484.7K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Paes

84%

Douglas Ruas

16%

+ 14 more

$477.9K Vol.

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Cleitinho Azevedo

86%

Patrus Ananias

8%

+ 15 more

$399.7K Vol.

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Tarcísio de Freitas

98%

Fernando Haddad

1%

$311.0K Vol.

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

PL

84%

MDB

13%

+ 10 more

$297.9K Vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$264.4K Vol.

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ciro Gomes

60%

Elmano de Freitas

41%

+ 4 more

$234.9K Vol.

Paraná Governor Election Winner

Sergio Moro

84%

Sandro Alex

14%

$171.6K Vol.

Bahia Governor Election Winner

Jerônimo Rodrigues

60%

ACM Neto

38%

+ 5 more

$153.1K Vol.

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Jorginho Mello

97%

Marcelo Brigadeiro

2%

$122.8K Vol.

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

PL

61%

UPB

40%

+ 13 more

$115.7K Vol.

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%

46%

4.50-4.99%

35%

+ 8 more

$113.6K Vol.

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Luciano Zucco

67%

Juliana Brizola

31%

$105.6K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner

Lula

77%

Flavio Bolsonaro

22%

$104.7K Vol.

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$91.5K Vol.

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

18%

chance

Yes

No

$87.6K Vol.

Maranhão Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Braide

76%

Orleans Brandão

23%

+ 4 more

$77.7K Vol.

Roraima Senate Election: 2nd Place

Nicoletti

45%

Teresa Surita

28%

$68.5K Vol.

Paraíba Governor Election Winner

Lucas Ribeiro

81%

Efraim Filho

10%

$62.7K Vol.

Piauí Governor Election Winner

Rafael Fonteles

99%

Lourdes Melo

<1%

$56.8K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 2nd Place

Marcelo Crivella

37%

Pedro Paulo

20%

+ 14 more

$56.5K Vol.

São Paulo Senate Election: 2nd Place

André do Prado

37%

Simone Tebet

18%

+ 12 more

$56.0K Vol.

Santa Catarina Senate Election: 2nd Place

Esperidião Amin

37%

Carol de Toni

33%

$55.9K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Goiás

Flavio Bolsonaro

93%

Ronaldo Caiado

5%

$55.2K Vol.

Roraima Senate Election: 1st Place

Teresa Surita

56%

Nicoletti

35%

$54.6K Vol.

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

PL

88%

UNIÃO

3%

+ 10 more

$53.6K Vol.

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 1st Place

Marília Campos

60%

Aécio Neves

18%

+ 16 more

$52.3K Vol.

Minas Gerais Senate Election: 2nd Place

Domingos Sávio

47%

Marília Campos

22%

+ 16 more

$51.6K Vol.

Pernambuco Governor Election Winner

Raquel Lyra

60%

João Campos

35%

+ 1 more

$49.2K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Senate Election: 1st Place

Benedita da Silva

53%

Carlos Jordy

22%

+ 14 more

$49.0K Vol.

Paraná Senate Election: 1st Place

Deltan Dallagnol

46%

Filipe Barros

28%

$48.5K Vol.

São Paulo Senate Election: 1st Place

Guilherme Derrite

62%

Simone Tebet

11%

+ 12 more

$46.9K Vol.

Pará Governor Election Winner

Hana Ghassan

63%

Dr. Daniel Santos

34%

+ 5 more

$46.9K Vol.

Federal District Senate Election: 2nd Place

Bia Kicis

51%

Leila do Vôlei

43%

$45.5K Vol.

Piauí Senate Election: 2nd Place

Julio Cesar

44%

Marcelo Castro

29%

+ 18 more

$45.1K Vol.

Acre Senate Election: 2nd Place

Mara Rocha

56%

Marcio Bittar

36%

$43.6K Vol.

Espírito Santo Senate Election: 2nd Place

Sergio Meneguelli

32%

Maguinha Malta

25%

$40.7K Vol.

Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner

Ricardo Ferraço

63%

Lorenzo Pazolini

35%

$40.3K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Paraíba

Lula

98%

Escritor Augusto Cury

1%

$40.1K Vol.

Acre Senate Election: 1st Place

Mara Rocha

36%

Marcio Bittar

33%

$39.9K Vol.

Piauí Senate Election: 1st Place

Marcelo Castro

47%

Ciro Nogueira

30%

+ 18 more

$39.7K Vol.

Rondônia Senate Election: 1st Place

Dr. Fernando Máximo

60%

Sílvia Cristina

27%

+ 8 more

$39.7K Vol.

Rio Grande do Sul Senate Election: 2nd Place

Sanderson

40%

Manuela D'Ávila

38%

$38.6K Vol.

Acre Governor Election Winner

Alan Rick

60%

Mailza Assis

39%

+ 4 more

$38.3K Vol.

Amazonas Senate Election: 1st Place

Eduardo Braga

75%

Capitão Alberto Neto

9%

$38.2K Vol.

Goiás Senate Election: 2nd Place

Gustavo Gayer

72%

Vanderlan Cardoso

7%

$37.5K Vol.

Ceará Senate Election: 2nd Place

Capitão Wagner

36%

Luizianne

33%

$36.6K Vol.

Bahia Senate Election: 2nd Place

Jaques Wagner

56%

João Roma

16%

+ 8 more

$36.0K Vol.

Paraná Senate Election: 2nd Place

Filipe Barros

51%

Alexandre Curi

24%

$35.4K Vol.

Tocantins Senate Election: 2nd Place

Alexandre Guimarães

43%

Gaguim

41%

$35.3K Vol.

Maranhão Senate Election: 2nd Place

Weverton Rocha

34%

Lahesio Bonfim

24%

$35.3K Vol.

Goiás Governor Election Winner

Daniel Vilela

97%

Marconi Perillo

2%

$35.2K Vol.

Santa Catarina Senate Election: 1st Place

Carol de Toni

52%

Esperidião Amin

31%

$34.4K Vol.

Amapá Senate Election: 1st Place

Rayssa Furlan

87%

Lucas Barreto

5%

$34.0K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 1st Place in Federal District

Flavio Bolsonaro

92%

Lula

7%

$33.9K Vol.

Sergipe Senate Election: 1st Place

Rogerio Carvalho

38%

Delegado André David

37%