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Brazil

All Trump Midterms Global Elections Gov Shutdown Epstein Texas Senate Primaries China Brazil Hungary Election Slovenia Election Colombia Election German Elections Venezuela Courts US Election Trade War Congress Mayoral Elections Cabinet Senate Israel Canada

All1.6K Trump290 Midterms546 Global Elections128 Gov Shutdown6 Epstein24 Texas Senate6 Primaries183 China38 Brazil15 Hungary Election7 Slovenia Election2 Colombia Election6 German Elections4 Venezuela31 Courts21 US Election149 Trade War8 Congress41 Mayoral Elections10 Cabinet8 Senate7 Israel74 Canada28

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

61%

Flávio Bolsonaro

26%

$114.1M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro

79%

Renan Santos

12%

$4.2M Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Renan Santos

64%

Ronaldo Caiado

17%

$457.3K Vol.

Which candidates will advance to Brazil's presidential runoff?

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

95%

Flavio Bolsonaro

83%

$434.6K Vol.

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Won

PL

86%

MDB

12%

$284.5K Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva 5-10%

41%

Lula da Silva <5%

21%

$283.4K Vol.

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Paes

93%

Douglas Ruas

3%

$265.3K Vol.

São Paulo Governor Election Winner

Tarcísio de Freitas

93%

Fernando Haddad

4%

$238.6K Vol.

Bank of Brazil decision in August?

25 bps decrease

81%

No Change

16%

$155.4K Vol.

Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15?

96%

chance

Yes

No

$116.7K Vol.

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ciro Gomes

68%

Elmano de Freitas

28%

$109.1K Vol.

Santa Catarina Governor Election Winner

Jorginho Mello

89%

João Rodrigues

5%

$99.9K Vol.

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$97.6K Vol.

Minas Gerais Governor Election Winner

Cleitinho Azevedo

51%

Mateus Simões

16%

$96.4K Vol.

Bahia Governor Election Winner

Jerônimo Rodrigues

51%

ACM Neto

50%

$83.8K Vol.

Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$82.6K Vol.

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Luciano Zucco

45%

Juliana Brizola

42%

$82.5K Vol.

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.00-5.49%

37%

4.50-4.99%

27%

$76.4K Vol.

Brazil Chamber of Deputies Election Winner

PL

72%

UPB

21%

$56.3K Vol.

Paraíba Governor Election Winner

Lucas Ribeiro

72%

Cícero Lucena

23%

$35.2K Vol.

Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$29.9K Vol.

Bank of Brazil decision in September?

25 bps decrease

57%

No Change

43%

$25.6K Vol.

Will Lula announce nomination of a Supreme Court minister by...?

June 30<1%September 3021%December 3172%

$20.5K Vol.

Brazil GDP Growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

0.3%–0.5%

42%

≥1.5%

38%

$19.9K Vol.

Pará Governor Election Winner

Dr. Daniel Santos

50%

Hana Ghassan

37%

$19.8K Vol.

Next Brazil Senate Election: Most Seats Held

PL

87%

PP

8%

$18.3K Vol.

Paraná Governor Election Winner

Sergio Moro

83%

Requião Filho

11%

$17.6K Vol.

Maranhão Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Braide

76%

Orleans Brandão

19%

$16.3K Vol.

Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner

Ricardo Ferraço

61%

Lorenzo Pazolini

37%

$11.8K Vol.

Pernambuco Governor Election Winner

Raquel Lyra

67%

João Campos

27%

$11.3K Vol.

Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by September 30?

17%

chance

Yes

No

$2.5K Vol.

Goiás Governor Election Winner

Daniel Vilela

83%

Wilder Morais

8%

$2.4K Vol.

Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026?

↑5.5

34%

↓4.5

30%

$838 Vol.