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Canada

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
All1.6KTrump290Midterms546Global Elections128Gov Shutdown6Epstein24Texas Senate6Primaries183China38Brazil15Hungary Election7Slovenia Election2Colombia Election6German Elections4Venezuela31Courts21US Election149Trade War8Congress41Mayoral Elections10Cabinet8Senate7Israel74Canada28

Quebec General Election Winner

PQ

63%

YesNo

PLQ

28%

YesNo
+ 31 more

$494.8K Vol.

Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?

60%

chance

Yes

No

$398.8K Vol.

B.C. Conservative Party Leadership Election Winner

Caroline Elliott

75%

YesNo

Kerry-Lynne Findlay

12%

YesNo
+ 34 more

$161.6K Vol.

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

17%

chance

Yes

No

$148.2K Vol.

Another Canada election called by June 30?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$80.4K Vol.

Canada recession before 2027?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$66.5K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

14%

chance

Yes

No

$64.7K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Kareem Allam

40%

YesNo

Ken Sim

30%

YesNo
+ 37 more

$60.5K Vol.

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$45.9K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

28%

chance

Yes

No

$37.9K Vol.

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$33.4K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow

78%

YesNo

Brad Bradford

19%

YesNo
+ 34 more

$29.5K Vol.

Bank of Canada decision in June?

No change

94%

YesNo

Increase

6%

YesNo
+ 2 more

$21.7K Vol.

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

58%

YesNo

Charles Milliard

34%

YesNo
+ 27 more

$20.4K Vol.

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

2.5–2.9%

62%

YesNo

3.5-3.9%

39%

YesNo
+ 6 more

$16.4K Vol.

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sutcliffe

73%

YesNo

Jeff Leiper

22%

YesNo
+ 37 more

$12.1K Vol.

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

↓1.33

51%

YesNo

↑1.45

48%

YesNo
+ 9 more

$11.6K Vol.

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

49%

chance

Yes

No

$7.9K Vol.

Will Alberta join the US?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$6.6K Vol.

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

10%

chance

Yes

No

$6.3K Vol.

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$4.6K Vol.

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

17%

chance

Yes

No

$3.2K Vol.

Bank of Canada Decision in July?

No Change

84%

YesNo

25 bps increase

22%

YesNo
+ 3 more

$1.9K Vol.

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

16%

chance

Yes

No

$1.5K Vol.

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

46%

chance

Yes

No

$1.5K Vol.

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

39%

chance

Yes

No

$1.5K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?

31%

chance

Yes

No

$631 Vol.

Another Canadian MP crosses the floor by...?

April 30<1%May 156%May 3114%

$467 Vol.