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Canada

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
All1.6KTrump290Midterms546Global Elections128Gov Shutdown6Epstein24Texas Senate6Primaries183China38Brazil15Hungary Election7Slovenia Election2Colombia Election6German Elections4Venezuela31Courts21US Election149Trade War8Congress41Mayoral Elections10Cabinet8Senate7Israel74Canada28

Will Alberta join the US?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$2.2M Vol.

Quebec General Election Winner

PQ

73%

YesNo

PLQ

15%

YesNo
+ 4 more

$683.3K Vol.

Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$240.7K Vol.

Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$154.6K Vol.

Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

Pete Fry

37%

YesNo

Ken Sim

22%

YesNo
+ 10 more

$127.4K Vol.

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow

77%

YesNo

Brad Bradford

19%

YesNo
+ 6 more

$111.2K Vol.

Another Canada election called by...?

June 30, 2026<1%December 31, 20264%

$91.9K Vol.

Next Premier of Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

70%

YesNo

Charles Milliard

13%

YesNo
+ 5 more

$64.8K Vol.

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by...?

June 30, 2026<1%December 31, 202671%

$44.6K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?

30%

chance

Yes

No

$43.1K Vol.

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sutcliffe

44%

YesNo

Neil Saravanamuttoo

18%

YesNo
+ 3 more

$40.6K Vol.

Canada Annual Inflation 2026

3.0-3.4%

44%

YesNo

2.0–2.4%

31%

YesNo
+ 6 more

$20.5K Vol.

The Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly By-Election Winner

Jennifer Flett

99%

YesNo

Dan Quesnel

<1%

YesNo
+ 2 more

$18.5K Vol.

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

26%

chance

Yes

No

$17.2K Vol.

Will USD/CAD hit __ in 2026?

↓1.33

47%

YesNo

↑1.45

45%

YesNo
+ 8 more

$14.1K Vol.

Will Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$9.1K Vol.

Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$8.0K Vol.

Bank of Canada Decision in September?

No Change

96%

YesNo

25 bps increase

5%

YesNo
+ 3 more

$7.1K Vol.

Doug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?

22%

chance

Yes

No

$4.1K Vol.

Will Trump try to acquire part of Alberta?

14%

chance

Yes

No

$3.6K Vol.

Bank of Canada Decision in October?

No Change

81%

YesNo

25 bps increase

17%

YesNo
+ 3 more

$2.3K Vol.

USMCA extended in 2026?

41%

chance

Yes

No

$2.2K Vol.

Canada's population Up or Down this year?

28%

chance

Yes

No

$2.1K Vol.

Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?

84%

chance

Yes

No

$1.8K Vol.

Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau breakup before August?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$1.1K Vol.