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Israel

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
All1.6KTrump290Midterms546Global Elections128Gov Shutdown6Epstein24Texas Senate6Primaries183China38Brazil15Hungary Election7Slovenia Election2Colombia Election6German Elections4Venezuela31Courts21US Election149Trade War8Congress41Mayoral Elections10Cabinet8Senate7Israel74Canada28

Netanyahu out by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 31<1%

$123.6M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

27%

chance

Yes

No

$45.9M Vol.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot

52%

YesNo

Benjamin Netanyahu

36%

YesNo
+ 16 more

$28.8M Vol.

Israel closes its airspace by...?

May 24<1%May 8<1%May 31<1%

$23.4M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$22.6M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 31<1%

$21.6M Vol.

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

April 30<1%April 22<1%May 31<1%

$12.1M Vol.

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

April 26<1%May 31<1%June 15<1%

$9.9M Vol.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

April 30<1%May 31<1%June 30<1%

$7.9M Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%December 315%

$7.7M Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

5

47%

YesNo

4

38%

YesNo
+ 10 more

$7.3M Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

March 13<1%March 16<1%March 31<1%

$5.9M Vol.

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

October 31<1%November 7<1%November 30<1%

$4.1M Vol.

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

June 30, 2026<1%December 31, 20268%

$3.5M Vol.

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%December 318%

$3.0M Vol.

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

October 31<1%December 31<1%November 30<1%

$2.8M Vol.

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2025<1%June 30, 2026<1%December 31, 20266%

$2.1M Vol.

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

November 30<1%December 31<1%February 28, 2026<1%

$2.1M Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

June 30<1%December 3115%

$2.1M Vol.

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 31<1%

$1.7M Vol.

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18100%July 20100%July 2295%

$1.2M Vol.

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Somaliland

20%

YesNo

Syria

16%

YesNo
+ 10 more

$983.3K Vol.

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

December 31<1%March 31, 2026<1%April 30, 2026<1%

$935.4K Vol.

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

June 15<1%June 30<1%July 314%

$916.9K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium

18%

YesNo

Finland

13%

YesNo
+ 9 more

$751.8K Vol.

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by...?

June 30<1% October 31<1%December 31<1%

$706.3K Vol.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

March 31<1%April 30<1%June 30<1%

$654.0K Vol.

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?<1%June 30, 2026<1%December 31, 202610%

$516.3K Vol.

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

June 30<1%December 3110%

$473.6K Vol.

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

8%

chance

Yes

No

$327.9K Vol.

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

May 31<1%June 7<1%June 30<1%

$327.0K Vol.

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

13%

chance

Yes

No

$306.6K Vol.

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Venezuela

23%

YesNo

Lebanon

21%

YesNo
+ 14 more

$271.7K Vol.

Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?

16%

chance

Yes

No

$228.9K Vol.

Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by...?

July 19<1%July 20<1%July 241%

$221.4K Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

29%

chance

Yes

No

$221.1K Vol.

Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$190.4K Vol.

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

10%

chance

Yes

No

$183.4K Vol.

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

May 31<1%June 7<1%June 30<1%

$164.8K Vol.

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by...?

June 30<1%December 3115%

$135.4K Vol.

Will a US ally get a nuke before 2027?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$134.7K Vol.

Israeli Legislative Election Winner

Likud

63%

YesNo

Yashar

37%

YesNo
+ 4 more

$129.1K Vol.

Israeli forces enter Beirut by...?

May 31<1%June 30<1%July 312%

$127.9K Vol.

U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?

June 30<1%December 3114%

$116.1K Vol.

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

July 14<1%July 212%July 3119%

$110.4K Vol.

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by...?

June 30, 2026<1%August 31, 20265%

$91.5K Vol.

Will an international court find Israel or its leaders guilty of Genocide by December 31, 2027?

18%

chance

Yes

No

$91.4K Vol.

Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by...?

July 311%September 3015%

$90.3K Vol.

Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?

8%

chance

Yes

No

$82.6K Vol.

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

July 312%August 315%

$81.3K Vol.

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

May 31<1%June 7<1%June 30<1%

$80.1K Vol.

Greta Thunberg arrested by...?

June 30<1%December 3159%

$72.2K Vol.

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

25-29

30%

YesNo

20-24

29%

YesNo
+ 3 more

$70.4K Vol.

Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$65.9K Vol.

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

July 171%July 244%July 317%

$64.9K Vol.

Will Netanyahu talk to Joseph Aoun by...?

April 17<1%April 30<1%June 30<1%

$52.3K Vol.

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

July 14<1%July 211%July 319%

$46.0K Vol.

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by July 31?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$43.9K Vol.

Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?

33%

chance

Yes

No

$38.4K Vol.

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

34%

chance

Yes

No

$17.4K Vol.