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Congress

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
All1.6KTrump290Midterms546Global Elections128Gov Shutdown6Epstein24Texas Senate6Primaries183China38Brazil15Hungary Election7Slovenia Election2Colombia Election6German Elections4Venezuela31Courts21US Election149Trade War8Congress41Mayoral Elections10Cabinet8Senate7Israel74Canada28

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Democratic Party

59%

YesNo

Republican Party

41%

YesNo

$4.6M Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47

33%

YesNo

48

16%

YesNo
+ 9 more

$2.9M Vol.

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

12%

chance

Yes

No

$1.7M Vol.

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

October 31<1%December 31<1%March 31, 2026<1%

$560.7K Vol.

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

Not Extended & Democratic Party

89%

YesNo

Not Extended & Republican Party

12%

YesNo

$405.5K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Shutdown & Democratic Party

87%

YesNo

Shutdown & Republican Party

12%

YesNo

$337.2K Vol.

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$191.4K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$177.4K Vol.

Which bills will become law in 2026?

AI-chip export licensing

49%

YesNo

Export-control chip security

30%

YesNo
+ 11 more

$166.6K Vol.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune

45%

YesNo

Chuck Schumer

37%

YesNo
+ 8 more

$156.2K Vol.

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Jacky Rosen

18%

YesNo

Alex Padilla

16%

YesNo
+ 13 more

$144.8K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%

28%

YesNo

Democrats 6-8%

21%

YesNo
+ 11 more

$135.7K Vol.

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

December 31, 2025<1%March 31, 2026<1%June 30, 2026<1%

$118.1K Vol.

How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Above 58

12%

YesNo

Above 60

11%

YesNo
+ 6 more

$103.4K Vol.

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

69%

chance

Yes

No

$102.7K Vol.

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

4-6

97%

YesNo

7-9

3%

YesNo

$96.7K Vol.

Blue wave in 2026?

81%

chance

Yes

No

$68.9K Vol.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-12

87%

YesNo

13-15

9%

YesNo

$53.4K Vol.

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

June 30<1%November 22%

$38.1K Vol.

Blue tsunami in 2026?

47%

chance

Yes

No

$35.5K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

125-130m

23%

YesNo

115-120m

19%

YesNo
+ 9 more

$28.5K Vol.

Senate passes Clarity Act by...?

September 251%October 22%October 94%

$22.9K Vol.

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$22.7K Vol.

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$22.6K Vol.

Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$21.4K Vol.

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$19.9K Vol.

Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?

8%

chance

Yes

No

$18.2K Vol.

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

July 30<1%September 305%December 3122%

$16.3K Vol.

Government shutdown by October 1?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$15.6K Vol.

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$15.0K Vol.

Will Trump issue a veto in 2026?

39%

chance

Yes

No

$5.3K Vol.

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

July 30<1%September 304%December 3129%

$4.2K Vol.

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries

76%

YesNo

Mike Johnson

13%

YesNo
+ 4 more

$3.9K Vol.

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

16%

chance

Yes

No

$1.1K Vol.