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Congress

AllTrumpMidtermsGlobal ElectionsGov ShutdownEpsteinTexas SenatePrimariesChinaBrazilHungary ElectionSlovenia ElectionColombia ElectionGerman ElectionsVenezuelaCourtsUS ElectionTrade WarCongressMayoral ElectionsCabinetSenateIsraelCanada
All1.6KTrump290Midterms546Global Elections128Gov Shutdown6Epstein24Texas Senate6Primaries183China38Brazil15Hungary Election7Slovenia Election2Colombia Election6German Elections4Venezuela31Courts21US Election149Trade War8Congress41Mayoral Elections10Cabinet8Senate7Israel74Canada28

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Party

56%

YesNo

Democratic Party

44%

YesNo

$3.3M Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47

24%

YesNo

51

16%

YesNo
+ 9 more

$2.7M Vol.

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

October 31<1%December 31<1%March 31, 2026<1%

$560.4K Vol.

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

35%

chance

Yes

No

$452.4K Vol.

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

Not Extended & Democratic Party

81%

YesNo

Not Extended & Republican Party

19%

YesNo

$402.8K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Shutdown & Democratic Party

85%

YesNo

Shutdown & Republican Party

15%

YesNo

$329.0K Vol.

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$176.7K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$165.0K Vol.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune

51%

YesNo

Chuck Schumer

39%

YesNo
+ 8 more

$144.5K Vol.

Which bills will become law in 2026?

DEFIANCE Act

40%

YesNo

Critical-minerals stockpile

27%

YesNo
+ 11 more

$143.0K Vol.

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

December 31, 2025<1%March 31, 2026<1%June 30, 2026<1%

$114.9K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Democrats 8-10%

25%

YesNo

Democrats 6-8%

17%

YesNo
+ 11 more

$99.2K Vol.

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

7

43%

YesNo

11

11%

YesNo
+ 7 more

$92.9K Vol.

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

67%

chance

Yes

No

$71.7K Vol.

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

4-6

63%

YesNo

13-15

27%

YesNo
+ 4 more

$67.7K Vol.

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

36–39

61%

YesNo

24–27

8%

YesNo
+ 5 more

$64.7K Vol.

Blue wave in 2026?

76%

chance

Yes

No

$52.5K Vol.

Trump signs housing bill by end of July?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$44.3K Vol.

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

20–23

31%

YesNo

24–27

28%

YesNo
+ 5 more

$34.6K Vol.

Blue tsunami in 2026?

41%

chance

Yes

No

$30.2K Vol.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

2

70%

YesNo

3

17%

YesNo
+ 4 more

$29.3K Vol.

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

June 30<1%November 214%

$25.0K Vol.

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

10%

chance

Yes

No

$19.2K Vol.

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

12%

chance

Yes

No

$19.2K Vol.

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

21%

chance

Yes

No

$17.3K Vol.

Will Congress override any veto in 2026?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$12.1K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

120-125m

27%

YesNo

105-110m

23%

YesNo
+ 9 more

$10.3K Vol.

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

0

53%

YesNo

1

47%

YesNo
+ 4 more

$6.9K Vol.

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Aisha Wahab

94%

YesNo

Melissa Hernandez

2%

YesNo
+ 5 more

$6.8K Vol.

Who will vote to confirm Jay Clayton as Director of National Intelligence

Dan Sullivan

70%

YesNo

John Curtis

66%

YesNo
+ 8 more

$6.5K Vol.

Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?

20%

chance

Yes

No

$4.6K Vol.

Who will vote to confirm Todd Blanche as Attorney General?

Thom Tillis

89%

YesNo

Rand Paul

88%

YesNo
+ 8 more

$4.6K Vol.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

10-12

44%

YesNo

7-9

25%

YesNo
+ 4 more

$2.9K Vol.

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries

82%

YesNo

Mike Johnson

14%

YesNo
+ 4 more

$2.3K Vol.

Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

July 301%September 3019%December 3125%

$2.1K Vol.

Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

July 302%September 309%December 3120%

$1.8K Vol.

Government shutdown by October 1?

56%

chance

Yes

No

$635 Vol.

Will the US Senate pass at least $20 billion in supplemental War Funding by September 30?

62%

chance

Yes

No

$252 Vol.