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Congress

All Trump Midterms Global Elections Gov Shutdown Epstein Texas Senate Primaries China Brazil Hungary Election Slovenia Election Colombia Election German Elections Venezuela Courts US Election Trade War Congress Mayoral Elections Cabinet Senate Israel Canada

All1.6K Trump290 Midterms546 Global Elections128 Gov Shutdown6 Epstein24 Texas Senate6 Primaries183 China38 Brazil15 Hungary Election7 Slovenia Election2 Colombia Election6 German Elections4 Venezuela31 Courts21 US Election149 Trade War8 Congress41 Mayoral Elections10 Cabinet8 Senate7 Israel74 Canada28

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Party

53%

Democratic Party

47%

$2.4M Vol.

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

≤47

26%

50

19%

$2.3M Vol.

Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

October 31<1%December 31<1%March 31, 2026<1%

$559.7K Vol.

ACA credits extended & House Winner 2026?

Not Extended & Democratic Party

80%

Not Extended & Republican Party

21%

$396.6K Vol.

Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$352.6K Vol.

Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?

Shutdown & Democratic Party

80%

Shutdown & Republican Party

14%

$322.3K Vol.

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$165.8K Vol.

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

22%

chance

Yes

No

$112.5K Vol.

Who will vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair?

Kevin Cramer

100%

Thom Tillis

99%

$101.1K Vol.

Mike Johnson out as Speaker by...?

December 31, 2025<1%March 31, 2026<1%June 30, 20268%

$100.9K Vol.

Which bills will become law in 2026?

DEFIANCE Act

76%

FISA Section 702 reauthorization

71%

$99.4K Vol.

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$82.5K Vol.

How many Republican Senators not running in 2026?

7

65%

8

20%

$73.5K Vol.

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

March 31<1%June 303%

$64.2K Vol.

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer

24%

John Thune

21%

$62.4K Vol.

Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

66%

chance

Yes

No

$61.7K Vol.

How many Republican House members not running in 2026?

44+

42%

36–39

32%

$56.2K Vol.

Blue wave in 2026?

76%

chance

Yes

No

$42.8K Vol.

How many Republican House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

<3

45%

4-6

38%

$41.4K Vol.

FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?

97%

chance

Yes

No

$39.8K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Popular Vote Margin of Victory

Other

46%

Republicans 0-2%

23%

$32.4K Vol.

How many Democratic House members not running in 2026?

32–35

25%

24–27

24%

$31.6K Vol.

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by...?

May 151%May 2268%May 3185%

$27.8K Vol.

Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?

14%

chance

Yes

No

$27.5K Vol.

Blue tsunami in 2026?

49%

chance

Yes

No

$26.1K Vol.

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by...?

April 30<1%June 3047%

$18.0K Vol.

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

11%

chance

Yes

No

$17.6K Vol.

Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?

17%

chance

Yes

No

$13.4K Vol.

Will Republicans lose House majority before the midterms?

14%

chance

Yes

No

$12.2K Vol.

Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$8.7K Vol.

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

<85m

25%

130m+

25%

$7.2K Vol.

Tony Gonzales charged by June 30?

41%

chance

Yes

No

$6.1K Vol.

Major US official out by May 31?

28%

chance

Yes

No

$4.9K Vol.

How many Democratic Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

0

72%

1

16%

$4.7K Vol.

How many Republican Senate Incumbents will not win their Primary?

1

38%

2

28%

$4.7K Vol.

Fetterman leaves the Democrats by June 30?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$3.0K Vol.

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$2.5K Vol.

How many Democratic House Incumbents will not win their Primary?

4-6

40%

7-9

36%

$1.8K Vol.

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Hakeem Jeffries

77%

Mike Johnson

19%

$1.7K Vol.

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

Aisha Wahab

89%

Matt Ortega

19%

$956 Vol.