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BetaPoly is a demonstration prediction-markets frontend that fetches public data from Polymarket. Trading on BetaPoly uses virtual BetaPoints only: no real money, wallets, or crypto are involved. Powered by the Polymarket public APIs. Operated by the BetaSouls team.

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All1.6KTrump290Midterms546Global Elections128Gov Shutdown6Epstein24Texas Senate6Primaries183China38Brazil15Hungary Election7Slovenia Election2Colombia Election6German Elections4Venezuela31Courts21US Election149Trade War8Congress41Mayoral Elections10Cabinet8Senate7Israel74Canada28

Will Trump visit China by...?

October 31, 2025<1%March 31, 2026<1%May 1599%

$38.0M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

0%

chance

Yes

No

$37.9M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$23.4M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$13.3M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

12%

chance

Yes

No

$12.0M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$7.7M Vol.

Will Trump visit China on...?

May 13

96%

YesNo

May 14

2%

YesNo
+ 30 more

$3.5M Vol.

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

12%

chance

Yes

No

$1.8M Vol.

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$1.3M Vol.

Who will acquire TikTok?

Larry Ellison/Oracle

100%

YesNo

Microsoft

7%

YesNo
+ 5 more

$1.0M Vol.

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$851.4K Vol.

US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$778.7K Vol.

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$705.1K Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

18%

chance

Yes

No

$536.6K Vol.

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

4.0–5.0%

75%

YesNo

5.0–6.0%

22%

YesNo
+ 8 more

$497.0K Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$453.6K Vol.

Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?

100%

chance

Yes

No

$439.2K Vol.

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

20%

chance

Yes

No

$330.4K Vol.

China x India military clash by...?

June 30<1%December 31<1%December 31, 202614%

$236.7K Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

14%

chance

Yes

No

$177.5K Vol.

Who will Xi Jinping purge in 2026?

Cai Qi4%Wang Huning7%Ding Xuexiang5%

$156.1K Vol.

China coup attempt before 2027?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$127.3K Vol.

Taiwanese Premier Cho Jung-tai out by...?

June 305%December 3118%

$124.4K Vol.

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$123.4K Vol.

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

16%

chance

Yes

No

$118.2K Vol.

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

78%

chance

Yes

No

$110.7K Vol.

How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?

15s+

59%

YesNo

10–15s

27%

YesNo
+ 5 more

$109.8K Vol.

US x China Military clash before 2027?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$100.8K Vol.

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

72%

chance

Yes

No

$98.5K Vol.

Xi meets with Iranian officials by May 15?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$90.3K Vol.

Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$82.8K Vol.

What will Trump say during bilateral events with Xi Jinping?

Iran

82%

YesNo

Tariff

71%

YesNo
+ 31 more

$68.7K Vol.

Best Chinese AI Company end of May?

Alibaba

54%

YesNo

Baidu

36%

YesNo
+ 23 more

$62.7K Vol.

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

3%

chance

Yes

No

$45.9K Vol.

Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?

5%

chance

Yes

No

$42.8K Vol.

China Annual Inflation 2026

0.6 – 1.0%

55%

YesNo

1.1 – 1.5%

33%

YesNo
+ 7 more

$39.8K Vol.

Will Jia Yueting enter mainland China by...?

December 31, 2025<1%June 30, 20262%

$36.9K Vol.

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$33.4K Vol.

Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$30.6K Vol.

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

63%

chance

Yes

No

$30.4K Vol.

China GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q2 2026?

4.6-4.9%

64%

YesNo

4.9-5.2%

21%

YesNo
+ 7 more

$14.4K Vol.

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

June 302%December 3136%

$13.1K Vol.

Who will attend Trump's Xi summit?

Any CEO of a publicly-listed US company

99%

YesNo

Scott Bessent

98%

YesNo
+ 9 more

$12.2K Vol.

Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$8.2K Vol.

Will Trump Insult Xi this week?

4%

chance

Yes

No

$4.4K Vol.

People's Bank of China rate change in May?

No Change

98%

YesNo

Decrease

2%

YesNo
+ 1 more

$3.3K Vol.

Trump-Xi Summit: What will Trump announce by May 22?

Tariff Reduction

53%

YesNo

AI Export Restrictions Relief

30%

YesNo
+ 5 more

$2.1K Vol.

When will Trump leave China?

May 15

89%

YesNo

May 16

5%

YesNo
+ 7 more

$1.9K Vol.

Precipitation in Hong Kong in May?

240mm+

46%

YesNo

210-220mm

41%

YesNo
+ 6 more

$1.6K Vol.

Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?

14%

chance

Yes

No

$759 Vol.