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China·Geopolitics

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

Jun 30
14%chance
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$177.8K Vol.Jun 30, 2027Earn rewards
AmountBalance 10,000.00 BP

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This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China, including any inhabited islands, will qualify; however, uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Market Opened: Apr 1, 2026

Resolveroracle.uma.xyz (UMA)
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