Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?
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$1.6M Vol.Jun 30, 2026
Anthropic$258.0K Vol.
100%
OpenAI$405.1K Vol.
13%
xAI$554.8K Vol.
9%
Meta$15.4K Vol.
6%
Mistral$13.2K Vol.
6%
Baidu$3.2K Vol.
4%
Z.ai$10.2K Vol.
3%
Alibaba$10.6K Vol.
2%
Meituan$3.1K Vol.
2%
DeepSeek$275.0K Vol.
2%
Nvidia$6.4K Vol.
0%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena score on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) for any amount of time by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If a listed model ties for #1 Arena score, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again. If it becomes permanently unavailable, resolution will be based on another credible source.
Market Opened: Dec 22, 2025