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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

0%
chance
$37.9M Vol.

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

December 31, 202687%
June 30, 202667%
May 31, 202636%
$25.4M Vol.5 markets

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)59%
1 (25 bps)20%
2 (50 bps)12%
$25.1M Vol.13 markets

Fed Decision in June?

No change97%
25 bps decrease2%
25 bps increase1%
$23.5M Vol.5 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

1%
chance
$13.1M Vol.

Largest Company end of June?

NVIDIA84%
Alphabet14%
Apple3%
$11.9M Vol.28 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

12%
chance
$11.9M Vol.

Fed Decision in July?

No change91%
25 bps decrease6%
25 bps increase3%
$5.0M Vol.5 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

35%
chance
$4.5M Vol.

Largest Company end of May?

NVIDIA93%
Alphabet6%
Apple0%
$3.5M Vol.29 markets

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

20+100%
40+0%
80+0%
$3.1M Vol.4 markets

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA64%
Alphabet27%
Apple7%
$2.7M Vol.28 markets

Fed rate cut by...?

December Meeting39%
October Meeting24%
September Meeting14%
$1.7M Vol.8 markets

US recession by end of 2026?

23%
chance
$1.4M Vol.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5%100%
↓ 3.25%40%
↓ 3.0%12%
$1.4M Vol.21 markets

Fed rate hike in 2026?

21%
chance
$1.1M Vol.

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Pause–Pause–Pause97%
Pause–Pause–Cut2%
Other1%
$1.0M Vol.9 markets

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

4%
chance
$851.4K Vol.

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3%100%
Above 3.5%100%
Above 4%84%
$849.7K Vol.7 markets

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tim Cook - Apple100%
Sam Altman - OpenAI17%
Brian Armstrong - Coinbase12%
$690.7K Vol.6 markets

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

4.0–5.0%75%
5.0–6.0%22%
6.0-7.0%3%
$497.0K Vol.10 markets

Which banks will fail by June 30?

BNY8%
RBC2%
US Bank2%
$484.6K Vol.19 markets

April Inflation US - Annual

3.7%44%
3.8%36%
3.6%15%
$393.7K Vol.11 markets

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0%28%
5.5%14%
6.0%13%
$384.6K Vol.5 markets

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

20+45%
40+24%
60+14%
$340.6K Vol.4 markets

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

0%
chance
$281.1K Vol.

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

June 3013%
April 300%
$216.8K Vol.2 markets

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

4.0%100%
3.9%52%
3.8%46%
$214.0K Vol.9 markets

US takes a stake in Spirit Airlines by May 31?

2%
chance
$198.2K Vol.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.3%100%
4.4%100%
4.5%74%
$197.0K Vol.10 markets