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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

Fed Decision in July?

No change93%
25 bps increase7%
25 bps decrease0%
$76.9M Vol.5 markets

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)85%
1 (25 bps)11%
2 (50 bps)3%
$44.4M Vol.13 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

1%
chance
$19.0M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

56%
chance
$5.5M Vol.

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA62%
Apple22%
Alphabet11%
$4.5M Vol.28 markets

Fed rate hike in 2026?

57%
chance
$4.3M Vol.

Fed Decision in September?

No change55%
25 bps increase42%
25 bps decrease3%
$3.8M Vol.5 markets

Largest Company end of July?

NVIDIA72%
Company A50%
Company B50%
$3.2M Vol.29 markets

Fed rate cut by...?

December Meeting16%
October Meeting10%
September Meeting4%
$2.9M Vol.8 markets

US recession by end of 2026?

12%
chance
$1.7M Vol.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.5%100%
↑ 4.25%23%
↓ 3.25%18%
$1.7M Vol.21 markets

Fed rate hike by...?

October Meeting49%
September Meeting44%
July Meeting6%
$1.3M Vol.5 markets

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3%100%
Above 4%100%
Above 3.5%100%
$1.3M Vol.8 markets

Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?

3%
chance
$1.0M Vol.

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

4.0–5.0%88%
5.0–6.0%11%
3.0–4.0%2%
$792.6K Vol.10 markets

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Pause–Pause–Pause93%
Other7%
Pause–Pause–Cut0%
$755.9K Vol.9 markets

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tim Cook - Apple100%
Sam Altman - OpenAI14%
Andy Jassy - Amazon10%
$706.5K Vol.6 markets

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0%12%
6.0%8%
5.5%7%
$469.2K Vol.5 markets

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

No change100%
25 bps Increase0%
50+ bps decrease0%
$439.7K Vol.5 markets

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Other49%
Pause–Pause–Pause44%
Pause–Pause–Cut3%
$436.5K Vol.9 markets

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

December 3143%
July 311%
April 300%
$420.3K Vol.4 markets

2nd Largest Company end of July?

Apple73%
Company A50%
Company B50%
$369.3K Vol.29 markets

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Pause–Pause–Pause56%
Other42%
Pause–Pause–Cut3%
$337.8K Vol.9 markets

Fed Decision in October?

No change63%
25 bps increase21%
25 bps decrease10%
$290.7K Vol.5 markets

Bank of Russia decision in July?

Decrease58%
No Change40%
Increase2%
$257.0K Vol.3 markets

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.5%100%
4.6%100%
4.4%100%
$252.4K Vol.10 markets

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

No change99%
25 bps increase1%
50+ bps increase0%
$223.8K Vol.5 markets

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

4.0%100%
3.8%27%
3.9%24%
$220.5K Vol.9 markets

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

1m100%
1.1m87%
1.2m50%
$174.0K Vol.8 markets

3rd Largest Company end of July?

Alphabet97%
Company A50%
Company B50%
$164.0K Vol.29 markets