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Economy

AllTrade WarFed RatesInflationMacro IndicatorsGDPGlobal RatesTaxesTreasuriesTSAHousing
AllTrade WarFed RatesInflationMacro IndicatorsGDPGlobal RatesTaxesTreasuriesTSAHousing

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

0 (0 bps)

59%

YesNo

1 (25 bps)

20%

YesNo
+ 11 more

$25.1M Vol.

Fed Decision in June?

No change

97%

YesNo

25 bps decrease

2%

YesNo
+ 3 more

$23.5M Vol.

Fed Decision in July?

No change

91%

YesNo

25 bps decrease

6%

YesNo
+ 3 more

$5.0M Vol.

Fed rate cut by...?

January Meeting<1%March Meeting<1%April Meeting<1%

$1.7M Vol.

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

↓ 3.25%

38%

YesNo

↓ 3.0%

12%

YesNo
+ 18 more

$1.4M Vol.

Fed rate hike in 2026?

21%

chance

Yes

No

$1.1M Vol.

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Pause–Pause–Pause

97%

YesNo

Pause–Pause–Cut

2%

YesNo
+ 7 more

$1.0M Vol.

Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?

0%

chance

Yes

No

$281.1K Vol.

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

4.0%

100%

YesNo

3.9%

52%

YesNo
+ 7 more

$214.0K Vol.

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.3%

100%

YesNo

4.4%

100%

YesNo
+ 8 more

$197.0K Vol.

Fed rate hike by...?

June Meeting1%September Meeting16%April Meeting<1%

$145.1K Vol.

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

12%

chance

Yes

No

$103.8K Vol.

How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?

54

39%

YesNo

55

38%

YesNo
+ 11 more

$65.7K Vol.

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Pause–Pause–Pause

88%

YesNo

Pause–Pause–Cut

9%

YesNo
+ 7 more

$48.3K Vol.