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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3148%
May 310%
July 310%
$124.1M Vol.6 markets

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro85%
Delcy Rodríguez10%
María Corina Machado2%
$95.9M Vol.57 markets

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 317%
September 301%
July 310%
$72.5M Vol.10 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%
chance
$63.6M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
chance
$40.5M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei83%
No Head of State5%
Reza Pahlavi3%
$39.0M Vol.123 markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot51%
Benjamin Netanyahu29%
Naftali Bennett7%
$34.3M Vol.28 markets

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 315%
September 301%
April 300%
$29.2M Vol.8 markets

Israel closes its airspace by...?

September 307%
May 80%
May 310%
$27.7M Vol.19 markets

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

July 18100%
July 20100%
July 22100%
$27.5M Vol.23 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%
chance
$25.4M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

August 310%
August 150%
$25.1M Vol.2 markets

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202726%
December 3116%
November 309%
$24.5M Vol.14 markets

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3164%
October 3141%
September 3021%
$24.1M Vol.20 markets

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya8%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy4%
UNRWA4%
$23.6M Vol.71 markets

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202716%
December 31, 20267%
September 30, 20261%
$22.3M Vol.5 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 315%
June 300%
January 310%
$21.8M Vol.7 markets

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317%
October 312%
May 310%
$17.9M Vol.7 markets

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3111%
November 306%
October 312%
$17.0M Vol.9 markets

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 314%
December 31, 20250%
March 310%
$14.2M Vol.4 markets

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

5%
chance
$12.9M Vol.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3117%
October 3110%
September 304%
$12.0M Vol.12 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

4%
chance
$11.7M Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

6%
chance
$11.3M Vol.

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

March 31, 202760%
December 31, 202641%
September 30, 202611%
$10.7M Vol.11 markets

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

7%
chance
$10.6M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

28%
chance
$10.1M Vol.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 317%
September 301%
April 300%
$8.4M Vol.7 markets

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 314%
March 310%
April 300%
$7.8M Vol.3 markets

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

478%
69%
55%
$7.4M Vol.16 markets