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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3136%
July 311%
May 310%
$123.5M Vol.6 markets

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro77%
Delcy Rodríguez14%
María Corina Machado3%
$93.6M Vol.57 markets

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Starmer - UK PM96%
Petro - Colombia President1%
Netanyahu - Israel PM0%
$64.9M Vol.24 markets

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

August 316%
July 314%
June 240%
$62.9M Vol.8 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

20%
chance
$41.4M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
chance
$38.4M Vol.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 3112%
September 307%
July 311%
$28.4M Vol.7 markets

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei74%
No Head of State9%
Reza Pahlavi4%
$26.9M Vol.123 markets

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot41%
Benjamin Netanyahu37%
Naftali Bennett11%
$26.6M Vol.28 markets

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

UNRWA10%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy8%
Yulia Navalnaya8%
$22.4M Vol.71 markets

Israel closes its airspace by...?

August 3129%
July 3116%
July 154%
$22.2M Vol.16 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

10%
chance
$21.8M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 317%
June 300%
January 310%
$21.6M Vol.7 markets

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202728%
December 3125%
September 3016%
$19.6M Vol.9 markets

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 3114%
October 318%
August 315%
$17.3M Vol.7 markets

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202720%
December 31, 202610%
September 30, 20264%
$17.3M Vol.5 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

3%
chance
$16.2M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 316%
December 31, 20250%
March 310%
$14.2M Vol.4 markets

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

July 312%
April 220%
April 300%
$12.1M Vol.6 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

4%
chance
$11.6M Vol.

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

5%
chance
$11.3M Vol.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

7%
chance
$10.4M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

0%
chance
$10.1M Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

8%
chance
$9.9M Vol.

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

July 312%
April 260%
May 310%
$9.9M Vol.5 markets

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3131%
September 3014%
August 318%
$9.8M Vol.7 markets

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31, 202694%
September 30, 202690%
August 31, 202675%
$7.8M Vol.16 markets

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 316%
March 310%
April 300%
$7.6M Vol.3 markets

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 3112%
September 305%
August 312%
$7.4M Vol.7 markets

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

450%
533%
64%
$7.3M Vol.16 markets