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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3144%
June 305%
May 311%
$120.3M Vol.5 markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

December 3169%
June 3039%
May 3118%
$107.1M Vol.10 markets

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro63%
Delcy Rodríguez26%
María Corina Machado8%
$87.6M Vol.57 markets

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

June 3010%
May 315%
March 310%
$42.2M Vol.5 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

6%
chance
$39.0M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

0%
chance
$37.9M Vol.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

June 3063%
May 3128%
May 153%
$35.2M Vol.20 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

28%
chance
$27.7M Vol.

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%
chance
$23.4M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

2%
chance
$18.3M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 3114%
June 303%
May 311%
$17.9M Vol.7 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

19%
chance
$17.6M Vol.

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

June 3059%
May 3126%
May 2212%
$16.6M Vol.13 markets

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya8%
Donald Trump7%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy5%
$16.2M Vol.71 markets

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 3111%
December 31, 20250%
March 310%
$14.2M Vol.4 markets

Iran leadership change by...?

December 3135%
June 3016%
May 319%
$13.4M Vol.6 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

1%
chance
$13.3M Vol.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 3128%
June 3014%
May 317%
$13.1M Vol.4 markets

Iran closes its airspace by...?

May 3140%
May 159%
May 80%
$12.4M Vol.5 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

12%
chance
$12.0M Vol.

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

14%
chance
$9.9M Vol.

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

7%
chance
$9.2M Vol.

Trump out as President before 2027?

12%
chance
$8.3M Vol.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu41%
Naftali Bennett28%
Gadi Eizenkot13%
$8.1M Vol.28 markets

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei64%
Reza Pahlavi9%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf4%
$7.8M Vol.123 markets

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

2%
chance
$7.7M Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 317%
March 310%
April 300%
$7.5M Vol.3 markets

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 3146%
June 3019%
May 316%
$6.9M Vol.4 markets

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

432%
532%
614%
$6.7M Vol.16 markets

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31, 202676%
September 30, 202656%
June 30, 202633%
$6.2M Vol.13 markets