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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

December 3169%
June 3039%
May 3118%
$107.1M Vol.10 markets

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

June 3010%
May 315%
March 310%
$42.2M Vol.5 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

6%
chance
$39.0M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

0%
chance
$37.9M Vol.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

June 3063%
May 3128%
May 153%
$35.2M Vol.20 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

28%
chance
$27.7M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

2%
chance
$18.3M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 3114%
June 303%
May 311%
$17.9M Vol.7 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

19%
chance
$17.6M Vol.

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

June 3059%
May 3126%
May 2212%
$16.6M Vol.13 markets

Iran leadership change by...?

December 3135%
June 3016%
May 319%
$13.4M Vol.6 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

1%
chance
$13.3M Vol.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 3128%
June 3014%
May 317%
$13.1M Vol.4 markets

Iran closes its airspace by...?

May 3140%
May 159%
May 80%
$12.4M Vol.5 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

12%
chance
$12.0M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei64%
Reza Pahlavi9%
Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf4%
$7.8M Vol.123 markets

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 317%
March 310%
April 300%
$7.5M Vol.3 markets

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 3146%
June 3019%
May 316%
$6.9M Vol.4 markets

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

432%
532%
614%
$6.7M Vol.16 markets

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Pakistan54%
No Meeting by June 3038%
Other2%
$4.8M Vol.19 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

34%
chance
$4.5M Vol.

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

20+100%
40+1%
80+0%
$3.1M Vol.4 markets

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

September 3016%
June 3013%
May 315%
$2.7M Vol.5 markets

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

28%
chance
$1.8M Vol.

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

May 316%
March 130%
March 310%
$1.6M Vol.5 markets

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

28%
chance
$1.3M Vol.

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

54%
chance
$1.3M Vol.

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

5%
chance
$1.2M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

8%
chance
$1.2M Vol.

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Jared Kushner62%
Steve Witkoff59%
J.D. Vance36%
$1.2M Vol.5 markets