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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

August 316%
July 314%
June 240%
$62.9M Vol.8 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

20%
chance
$41.4M Vol.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 3112%
September 307%
July 311%
$28.4M Vol.7 markets

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei74%
No Head of State9%
Reza Pahlavi4%
$26.9M Vol.123 markets

Israel closes its airspace by...?

August 3129%
July 3116%
July 154%
$22.2M Vol.16 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

10%
chance
$21.8M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 317%
June 300%
January 310%
$21.6M Vol.7 markets

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202728%
December 3125%
September 3016%
$19.6M Vol.9 markets

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 3114%
October 318%
August 315%
$17.3M Vol.7 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

3%
chance
$16.2M Vol.

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

July 312%
April 220%
April 300%
$12.1M Vol.6 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

4%
chance
$11.6M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

0%
chance
$10.1M Vol.

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

July 312%
April 260%
May 310%
$9.9M Vol.5 markets

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 3131%
September 3014%
August 318%
$9.8M Vol.7 markets

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 316%
March 310%
April 300%
$7.6M Vol.3 markets

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 3112%
September 305%
August 312%
$7.4M Vol.7 markets

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

450%
533%
64%
$7.3M Vol.16 markets

Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?

August 3149%
July 3125%
July 174%
$6.4M Vol.6 markets

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3129%
September 3017%
August 3112%
$5.7M Vol.10 markets

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 3131%
September 3018%
August 3112%
$5.6M Vol.14 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

56%
chance
$5.1M Vol.

Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

August 1539%
July 3130%
July 2424%
$4.9M Vol.8 markets

Iran full airspace closure by...?

August 3145%
July 3133%
July 158%
$3.6M Vol.4 markets

Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?

No Meeting by September 3032%
Switzerland24%
Qatar16%
$2.7M Vol.19 markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

0%
chance
$2.2M Vol.

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 3117%
June 300%
$2.1M Vol.2 markets

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

Donald Trump100%
JD Vance100%
Masoud Pezeshkian100%
$1.9M Vol.20 markets

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

September 3025%
December 314%
June 300%
$1.8M Vol.3 markets

Crude Oil all time high by...?

December 3114%
September 308%
May 310%
$1.7M Vol.4 markets