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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez20%
Jon Ossoff16%
Gavin Newsom15%
$1268.7M Vol.128 markets

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance25%
Jon Ossoff11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
$696.7M Vol.128 markets

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance52%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
Marco Rubio18%
$693.7M Vol.128 markets

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed97%
Gedion Timothewos1%
Berhanu Nega1%
$285.8M Vol.33 markets

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56%
Flávio Bolsonaro39%
Augusto Cury2%
$141.2M Vol.32 markets

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen33%
Édouard Philippe27%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
$124.5M Vol.128 markets

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3148%
May 310%
July 310%
$124.1M Vol.6 markets

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro85%
Delcy Rodríguez10%
María Corina Machado2%
$95.9M Vol.57 markets

Fed Decision in September?

25 bps increase57%
No change43%
50+ bps increase1%
$74.7M Vol.5 markets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 314%
September 301%
April 300%
$66.1M Vol.6 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

16%
chance
$63.6M Vol.

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra95%
Steve Hilton5%
Rick Caruso0%
$40.9M Vol.45 markets

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

4%
chance
$40.5M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei83%
No Head of State5%
Reza Pahlavi3%
$39.0M Vol.123 markets

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

4%
chance
$35.4M Vol.

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot51%
Benjamin Netanyahu29%
Naftali Bennett7%
$34.3M Vol.28 markets

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 315%
September 301%
April 300%
$29.2M Vol.8 markets

Israel closes its airspace by...?

September 307%
May 80%
May 310%
$27.7M Vol.19 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

7%
chance
$25.4M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by...?

August 310%
August 150%
$25.1M Vol.2 markets

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 202726%
December 3116%
November 309%
$24.5M Vol.14 markets

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER)72%
New People (NL)23%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)5%
$24.3M Vol.34 markets

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 3164%
October 3141%
September 3021%
$24.1M Vol.20 markets

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya8%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy4%
UNRWA4%
$23.6M Vol.71 markets

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 202716%
December 31, 20267%
September 30, 20261%
$22.3M Vol.5 markets

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 317%
October 312%
May 310%
$17.9M Vol.7 markets

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 314%
December 31, 20250%
March 310%
$14.2M Vol.4 markets

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass65%
Nithya Raman35%
Rick Caruso0%
$13.5M Vol.15 markets

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 3117%
October 3110%
September 304%
$12.0M Vol.12 markets

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

4%
chance
$11.7M Vol.