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Showing 30 of 30 loaded markets

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom24%
Kamala Harris8%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez8%
$1136.6M Vol.128 markets

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
J.D. Vance37%
Marco Rubio25%
$613.8M Vol.128 markets

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance19%
Gavin Newsom17%
Marco Rubio14%
$576.7M Vol.128 markets

Netanyahu out by...?

December 3144%
June 305%
May 311%
$120.3M Vol.5 markets

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

December 3169%
June 3039%
May 3118%
$107.1M Vol.10 markets

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro63%
Delcy Rodríguez26%
María Corina Machado8%
$87.6M Vol.57 markets

Brazil Presidential Election

Flávio Bolsonaro43%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva40%
Renan Santos6%
$69.3M Vol.32 markets

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella25%
Édouard Philippe20%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon11%
$67.8M Vol.128 markets

Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?

Kevin Warsh100%
Judy Shelton0%
Michelle Bowman0%
$55.9M Vol.35 markets

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Keiko Fujimori63%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino36%
Rafael López Aliaga1%
$50.2M Vol.49 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

6%
chance
$39.0M Vol.

Will Trump visit China by...?

June 30100%
May 31100%
May 1599%
$38.0M Vol.9 markets

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 3117%
September 3012%
June 306%
$37.0M Vol.6 markets

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Chong Won-oh94%
Oh Se-hoon7%
Cho Eun-hee0%
$36.4M Vol.66 markets

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

June 3063%
May 3128%
May 153%
$35.2M Vol.20 markets

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

7%
chance
$33.0M Vol.

Colombia Presidential Election

Candidate M50%
Abelardo de la Espriella43%
Iván Cepeda Castro39%
$28.4M Vol.28 markets

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

27%
chance
$27.7M Vol.

Fed Decision in June?

No change97%
25 bps decrease2%
25 bps increase1%
$23.5M Vol.5 markets

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%
chance
$23.4M Vol.

What will happen before GTA VI?

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire100%
Drake releases Iceman99%
GPT-6 released66%
$21.8M Vol.9 markets

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra55%
Tom Steyer26%
Steve Hilton9%
$20.5M Vol.45 markets

Starmer out by...?

December 3183%
June 3066%
May 3154%
$19.9M Vol.8 markets

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

2%
chance
$18.3M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

18%
chance
$17.6M Vol.

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

June 3060%
May 3126%
May 2212%
$16.6M Vol.13 markets

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya8%
Donald Trump7%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy5%
$16.2M Vol.71 markets

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

Ken Paxton60%
John Cornyn41%
Beth Van Duyne0%
$16.0M Vol.20 markets

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 3111%
December 31, 20250%
March 310%
$14.2M Vol.4 markets

Iran leadership change by...?

December 3135%
June 3016%
May 319%
$13.4M Vol.6 markets