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BetaPoly is a demonstration prediction-markets frontend that fetches public data from Polymarket. Trading on BetaPoly uses virtual BetaPoints only: no real money, wallets, or crypto are involved. Powered by the Polymarket public APIs. Operated by the BetaSouls team.

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Geopolitics

AllIranOilUkraineCubaVenezuelaUkraine Peace DealUkraine MapGazaIsraelSudanChinaThailand-CambodiaMiddle EastForeign PolicyIndia-PakistanSouth KoreaYemenSyriaTurkey
AllIranOilUkraineCubaVenezuelaUkraine Peace DealUkraine MapGazaIsraelSudanChinaThailand-CambodiaMiddle EastForeign PolicyIndia-PakistanSouth KoreaYemenSyriaTurkey

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

April 22<1%April 24<1%April 30<1%

$107.1M Vol.

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

March 31<1%April 15<1%April 30<1%

$42.2M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$39.0M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

0%

chance

Yes

No

$37.9M Vol.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

April 18<1%April 19<1%April 20<1%

$35.2M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

27%

chance

Yes

No

$27.7M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$18.3M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 311%

$17.9M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

18%

chance

Yes

No

$17.6M Vol.

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

April 23<1%April 12<1%April 13<1%

$16.6M Vol.

Iran leadership change by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 319%

$13.4M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?

1%

chance

Yes

No

$13.3M Vol.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

April 30<1%May 317%June 3014%

$13.1M Vol.

Iran closes its airspace by...?

May 159%May 6<1%May 7<1%

$12.4M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

12%

chance

Yes

No

$12.0M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

64%

YesNo

Reza Pahlavi

9%

YesNo
+ 121 more

$7.8M Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%December 317%

$7.5M Vol.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

April 30<1%May 316%June 3019%

$6.9M Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

4

32%

YesNo

5

32%

YesNo
+ 14 more

$6.7M Vol.

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Pakistan

54%

YesNo

No Meeting by June 30

38%

YesNo
+ 17 more

$4.8M Vol.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

34%

chance

Yes

No

$4.5M Vol.

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by end of April?

20+

100%

YesNo

40+

<1%

YesNo
+ 2 more

$3.1M Vol.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 316%

$2.7M Vol.

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

28%

chance

Yes

No

$1.8M Vol.