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All Iran Oil Ukraine Cuba Venezuela Ukraine Peace Deal Ukraine Map Gaza Israel Sudan China Thailand-Cambodia Middle East Foreign Policy India-Pakistan South Korea Yemen Syria Turkey

All Iran Oil Ukraine Cuba Venezuela Ukraine Peace Deal Ukraine Map Gaza Israel Sudan China Thailand-Cambodia Middle East Foreign Policy India-Pakistan South Korea Yemen Syria Turkey

Netanyahu out by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 311%

$120.3M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

6%

chance

Yes

No

$39.0M Vol.

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

27%

chance

Yes

No

$27.7M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$18.3M Vol.

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%May 311%

$17.9M Vol.

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

18%

chance

Yes

No

$17.6M Vol.

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

April 23<1%April 12<1%April 13<1%

$16.6M Vol.

Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Benjamin Netanyahu

41%

Naftali Bennett

28%

$8.1M Vol.

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei

64%

Reza Pahlavi

9%

$7.8M Vol.

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

March 31<1%April 30<1%December 317%

$7.5M Vol.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

April 30<1%May 316%June 3019%

$6.9M Vol.

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

4

32%

5

32%

$6.7M Vol.

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

October 31<1%November 7<1%November 30<1%

$4.0M Vol.

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

October 31<1%December 31<1%November 30<1%

$2.7M Vol.

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2025<1%June 30, 20263%December 31, 202614%

$2.1M Vol.

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

28%

chance

Yes

No

$1.8M Vol.

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

March 31<1%April 15<1%April 30<1%

$1.7M Vol.