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Iran

AllMilitary StrikesOilIran RegimeIran CeasefireStrait of HormuzRegional SpilloverU.S. x IranIran Offensive StrikesReza PahlaviLebanonNuclearIsrael x IranKurds
AllMilitary StrikesOilIran RegimeIran CeasefireStrait of HormuzRegional SpilloverU.S. x IranIran Offensive StrikesReza PahlaviLebanonNuclearIsrael x IranKurds

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

April 22<1%April 24<1%April 30<1%

$107.1M Vol.

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

April 18<1%April 19<1%April 20<1%

$35.2M Vol.

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

April 23<1%April 12<1%April 13<1%

$16.6M Vol.

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

April 30<1%May 317%June 3014%

$13.1M Vol.

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

April 30<1%May 316%June 3019%

$6.9M Vol.

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Pakistan

54%

YesNo

No Meeting by June 30

38%

YesNo
+ 17 more

$4.8M Vol.

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

28%

chance

Yes

No

$1.8M Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

28%

chance

Yes

No

$1.3M Vol.

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Jared Kushner

62%

YesNo

Steve Witkoff

59%

YesNo
+ 3 more

$1.2M Vol.

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

April 30<1%May 312%June 3011%

$983.4K Vol.

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

April 30<1%April 22<1%May 313%

$809.1K Vol.

What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?

Oil Sanction Relief

17%

YesNo

Unfreeze Iranian Assets

14%

YesNo
+ 2 more

$765.8K Vol.

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

7%

chance

Yes

No

$596.8K Vol.

Will Trump visit Pakistan by...?

April 30<1%May 314%

$582.0K Vol.

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

2%

chance

Yes

No

$541.8K Vol.

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

10%

chance

Yes

No

$512.2K Vol.

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

9%

chance

Yes

No

$397.7K Vol.